NFL 2013 Season Predictions

A friend of mine has been picking all the NFL games played each week for many years. In 2005 he asked if I would like to pick the games with him and see how we do. Seemed like a fun idea at the time.

We have been doing that each season ever since.

My friend kept the records for most of those years.

My results for the 2005-2012 seasons for all games including playoffs, Super Bowl, & Pro Bowl are:

1432-710-2

That is a 66.79% winning percentage in 2,144 games

I wouldn't call it great but it's not for a regular guy with basic information. I am not a gambler, so these picks are what is called "straight up" - not using any kind of point spread.

I historically do better in the regular season and struggle once the playoffs begin. I know, I can't seem to win the big one lol

Here are the regular season results for 2011:

174-82 - 67.96%

My results for the regular season in 2012 were not quite as good:

164-91-1 - 64.06%

There have been times my friend would do some "research" to compare our results against the experts. It surprised me quite a bit the first few times he did that because we compared very favorably. Few of the "experts" did better than we did and most did worse.

So I get a little skeptical when the so called "analysts" provide "insights" into how well a team is going to play or not play and who should win.

I'm not going to mention any names but there is an analyst for ESPN and NFL Network that was a former player and GM. His Wikipedia entry states:

His eight-year tenure as head of the franchise led to the worst eight-year record in the history of the modern NFL (31-84, a .270 winning percentage)

Another analyst for NFL Insiders on ESPN was a former GM. Over a 4 year draft time frame, only 8 players (out of 34 picks) are on the team and most are not even in the NFL at this time. That is a 23.52%.  My numbers could be slightly off since I didn't take time to review every team roster but I think there are about 5 other players on other teams. That brings it to 35%.

My point is, for a multi-billion dollar industry, I think I can do about as well.

Therefore, I am going to make my predictions and picks more public using this blog; so here goes

Division Winners:

AFC East - New England

AFC North - Cincinnati

AFC South - Houston

AFC West - Denver

NFC East - Dallas

NFC North - Green Bay

NFC South - Atlanta

NFC West - Seattle

Wild Cards:

AFC - Pittsburgh & Kansas City

NFC - New Orleans & Detroit

Conference Championship Game:

AFC

Houston over Denver

NFC

Atlanta over Seattle

Super Bowl:

Denver over Atlanta

I really don't want to pick Seattle to be in the championship game. I want to have it as Atlanta over New Orleans. But with the seeding issues, I think they will play the week before.

You are welcome to join in or comment.

Up next is the actual Week 1 picks.