Thursday, October 31, 2013

Predictions For NFL Week 9

Are you ready for some more football?

Cin – Mia                    Cin
KC – Buf                     KC
Atl – Car                     Car
Min – Dal                   Dal
NO – NYJ                   NO
Ten – Stl                     Ten
SD – Was                    SD
Phi – Oak                    Oak
TB – Sea                     Sea
Bal – Cle                     Bal
Pit – NE                      NE
Ind – Hou                    Ind
Chi – GB                     GB


Byes:
Ari, Den, Det, Jac, NYG, SF

Cincinnati at Miami - The Bengals are trending upward and the Dolphins are on a losing streak. I have no reason to think it will be any different this week.

Kansas City at Buffalo - The Chiefs haven't been playing great football but they have been winning. The Bills could pull off an upset but I can't pick them. Chiefs in a tough one.

Atlanta at Carolina - This has just been a bad year for the Falcons.

San Diego at Washington - The Chargers are traveling east again. They come out with another victory over the inconsistent Redskins. Am I still allowed to say that???

In my opinion there aren't any "I just have to watch this game" match ups this week. There are several that will be interesting to track and see how they turn out. It's character time for some teams because of injuries. For other teams the season has gone differently than anticipated.

I hope you enjoy the weekend of football

Tuesday, October 29, 2013

Results For NFL Week 8 2013

11-2

84.61%

That is the kind of percentage I want every week lol

Making these picks feels like luck or coincidence so much of the time.
For example, I had originally written down NYG over Phi. The more I thought about it, I felt like Michael Vick would make enough of a difference in the game for me to switch the pick to Phi.
From that perspective I could have been an amazing 12-1.
THAT WOULD BE AWESOME!

On the other hand, with a little under 2 minutes to play in the Dallas - Detroit game, I marked Dallas as the winner. They had just held Detroit. They had the ball and the lead. All Dallas had to do was run the clock out and the game was over. Next thing I know Dallas is kicking a field goal. Then Detroit has the chance to score a td and win. Which they did.
From that perspective, I really should be 10-3
Which is still a very good week.
But the point is, for every game that was a loss that easily could have been a win, there is another game that counts as a win which very easily could have been a loss.

I enjoy watching the games, making the picks, and then comparing my results.

For the year my record is 81-39 which is 67.50%
I am content with that.
A few more weeks like this and I will be very happy though :)

How have you been doing?




Thursday, October 24, 2013

Predictions For NFL Week 8

The weeks are going by so fast. It is week eight already.
So let's get to the picks ...

Car – TB                     Car
Dal – Det                    Det
SF – Jac                      SF
Cle – KC                     KC
Mia – NE                    NE
Buf – NO                    NO
NYG – Phi                  Phi
NYJ – Cin                   Cin
Pit – Oak                     Pit
Atl – Ari                     Ari
Was – Den                  Den
GB – Min                    GB
Sea – Stl                      Sea


Byes
Bal, Chi, Hou, Ind, SD, Ten

This is a week I will not be surprised if a clear underdog wins a game they should not even come close 
i.e. Jacksonville, Cleveland, Minnesota 
so beware San Francisco, Kansas City, & Green Bay

Dallas at Detroit - Both of these teams have a ton of talent. You never know which version of their team is going to show up on game day. Detroit has been a little more consistent, is healthier and is playing at home.

New York Giants at Philadelphia - This one is all about the starting QB for Philadelphia. If Michael Vick can start, I am taking the Eagles. If Vick is unable to play and Barkley is the QB, then I choose the Giants.

New York Jets at Cincinnati - This will be a hard fought contest that could go either way. If they were playing in New York (jersey) I would take the Jets. But they are playing in Cincinnati so I am taking the Bengals.

Atlanta at Arizona - Atlanta has so many injuries and is struggling to play the whole game with all 3 phases doing well. This is another home team pick.

Results for NFL Week 7

I went 9-6 for the week which is 60%

A little lower than I wanted but that is how it goes sometimes.
You take a chance or two and then the unexpected/unexplainable or an injury and that is what you get.

For the year on this blog I am 70-37 which is 65.42%

For the year the visitors have won 41 times; the home team has won 66 times;
The home team is winning 61.68% so far

Did anyone pick Kansas City to be the last unbeaten team in the league?

The New York Giants post their first win.
That leaves Jacksonville and Tampa Bay as the only winless teams.

I will post my predictions a little later today

Thursday, October 17, 2013

Predictions for NFL Week 7 2013

It's Thursday and that means it's time to pick NFL games again.

Sea – Ari                     Sea
TB – Atl                      Atl
Stl – Car                      Car
Cin – Det                    Cin
SD – Jac                      SD
Buf – Mia                   Mia
NE – NYJ                    NE
Dal – Phi                     Dal
Chi – Was                   Chi
SF – Ten                     SF
Cle – GB                     Cle
Hou – KC                    KC
Bal – Pit                      Bal
Den – Ind                    Den
Min – NYG                 NYG

There are some interesting match ups this week. I look forward to seeing how they play out

St Louis at Carolina - Which team will play more consistently and not give the game away? I think the Panthers will be able to overcome their mistakes more than the young Rams.

Dallas at Philadelphia - History says it is time for the Cowboys to play a bad game and make everyone wonder how they can continue to lose with all that talent. But I think they hold out for at least one more week before imploding.

Cleveland at Green Bay - This is my upset game of the week. The Packers have too many injuries and the Browns are trying to prove they are a winning franchise.

Minnesota at New York Giants - I just don't know what to make of the Vikings right now; too many questions and the Giants are due for a victory

Wednesday, October 16, 2013

Results for NFL Week 6 2013

10-5 for this week.

66.666%

Overall I have to be happy with the result.

Of course, I always want to do better :)

Did anybody predict a blow out by St Louis and Carolina?
A win? maybe. I will concede some may have picked those 2 teams to win but not by their respective margin of victory.

If you tell me New Orleans has the lead AND the ball with 2:46 left in the game I feel very good about my chances of winning. But not this week. Tom Brady and his rag tag offense still come out with a victory. Amazing.

Before the season started it would not have been an upset to say Pittsburgh beats the New York Jets on the road. But in week 6 of 2013 it was a total upset. Good for them.

The AFC West is a division to be noticed. Denver & Kansas City are both undefeated. San Diego can play with most teams and Oakland is the joker who can ruin your day.


So after 6 weeks of football and 92 games I am 61-31 which is 66.30%

Last season after 6 weeks and 91 games I was 56-35 which is 61.54%

The 2011 season I was looking much better after 90 games I was 66-24 which is 73.33%

Are you making picks? If so, how are YOU doing?

Thursday, October 10, 2013

Predictions For NFL Week 6 2013

Are you ready for week 6?

I am ready to get it started.

NYG – Chi                  Chi
GB – Bal                     GB
Cin – Buf                    Cin
Det – Cle                     Det
Stl – Hou                     Hou
Oak – KC                    KC
Car – Min                   Min
Pit – NYJ                    NYJ
Phi – TB                      Phi
Jac – Den                    Den
Ten – Sea                    Sea
NO – NE                     NO
Ari – SF                      SF
Was – Dal                   Dal
Ind – SD                      Ind


Byes – Atl, Mia

Each week presents its own set of challenges. But I love it.

Green Bay at Baltimore - This is a difficult one for me to pick. I think GB is the better team and playing more consistently on offense. Right now I don't know what to do with Baltimore. I have to have a reason to pick against Mr. Rogers and I don't have one today.

Detroit at Cleveland - What is going on in Cleveland? They have been playing good football since trading Trent Richardson. Matthew Stafford hasn't been putting up great numbers the last couple of weeks. I just can't get on the Browns band wagon again. Detroit finds a way to score enough points on this very tough Cleveland defense.

Pittsburgh at New York Jets - Is this Bizarro World? Did someone switch the numbers for the wins and losses of these two franchises? The Jets have been finding ways to win instead of finding ways to lose lately. Until the Steelers show me something different, I see no reason to pick them.

Indianapolis at San Diego - Andrew Luck is proving he is a top tier QB in the league. I thought he would take a slight step back this year and the Colts chances of getting to the playoffs along with it. Indy is showing they can play good football week in and week out. The front office made some unpopular choices but so far they look like the right ones. Luck is on their side.

Have a great weekend and enjoy the games.

Tuesday, October 8, 2013

Results For NFL Week 5 2013

I was 10-1 going into the Sunday night games. I was on track for a great week.

I knew the Houston pick was against better judgement. Several times over the weekend I wondered what I was thinking. lol
Sometimes you just have a feeling and need to go with it - there is no other explanation.
Bad pick in retrospect.

However, I still thought San Diego and Atlanta should win and I would be 12-2

Instead, I lost all 3 for a 10-4 record - 71.42%

In the end, a pretty good week.

Most people I know would be happy with that winning percentage.

For the season that brings my total to 51-26    66.23%

Every year there is one team that seems to be a problem for me.
They win when I pick them to lose; lose when I pick them to win.
This year that team seems to be the Baltimore Ravens.

I just can't seem to get a feel for when they are going to play well and when they are going to struggle.

Another reason why I enjoy making the picks. It's a challenge.

btw, I am not a fan of 2 Sunday night games. That late game is way past this old fogey's bedtime :)

My surprises so far this year center around the teams that are struggling
New York Giants
Pittsburgh Steelers
Atlanta Falcons
Houston Texans

to a lesser degree, I expected the St Louis Rams and Tampa Bay Buccaneers to play better. Maybe not have significantly better records but I did expect them to be more competitive.

I will be back on Thursday for next week's predictions.


Friday, October 4, 2013

Predictions For NFL Week 5 2013

Buf – Cle                     Cle
NO – Chi                    NO
NE – Cin                     Cin
Det – GB                     GB
Sea – Ind                     Ind
Bal – Mia                    Mia
Phi – NYG                  Phi
Jac – Stl                      Stl
KC – Ten                    KC
Car – Ari                     Ari
Den – Dal                    Den
Hou – SF                     Hou
SD – Oak                    SD
NYJ – Atl                    Atl


Byes:

Min, Pit, TB, Was

This has been the toughest week to make picks so far this season. Many games could go either way. But that is part of the fun and enjoyment of making the picks every week.

Will NO, NE, Sea, KC, & Den continue their winning ways?
Can NYG or Jac get their first win this week?

NO - Chi: The reignited defense of New Orleans under Mr. Ryan with the brilliant offensive play calling of Mr. Payton keeps the Saints unbeaten this week.

NE - Cin: The Patriots just keep finding ways to win and overcome the odds. But not this week. I have to take the Bengals at home.

Det - GB: This will be an exciting, high scoring inter-divisional game. You would think the team that can get a crucial stop is the one that will win. But GB at home won't make a costly mistake like the volatile Lions will and that will be the difference.

Sea - Ind: Seattle escaped with a win last week in Houston. Seattle is the better team. But the better team doesn't always win. In an upset the Colts find a way to beat the Seahawks.

Almost every game has some sort of intrigue. It will be fun to watch and see how they play out.

Thursday, October 3, 2013

Thursday NFL Pick

This week is an example of why I don't like the NFL scheduling Thursday night games from the beginning of the year.

I just haven't had time to record last weeks results and get ready for the upcoming week.

I would prefer the NFL not have Thursday until Thanksgiving. Once we reach the annual Thanksgiving Day games with Dallas & Detroit they can continue with Thursday night games until the last week of the season.

That gives me a chance to stay caught up on football; actually do some work; and try to have balance in the rest of my life.

But they didn't ask me.

So ....

tonight there is a game between Buffalo and Cleveland

After they traded Trent Richardson and Brandon Weedon hurt his thumb, I didn't give Cleveland much of a chance this year. But they have hung together and played tough defense. Hoyer has played surprisingly well and McGahee & company have provided enough running game to win.

Cleveland wins at home.

Results for NFL Week 4 2013

I went 10-5 for the week which is 66.6666%

That is my basic minimum goal. I want to be at 70% and hope to be at 75%.
However, 75% has been very, very difficult to achieve.

For the season I am at 41-22 (counting for the 2 typos in week 1 picks) which puts me at 65%

A quarter of the season is complete. Let's do a quick evaluation

NE is in the lead for AFC East - my prediction is on track so far

Bal, Cle, Cin are tied at 2-2 in the AFC North but my prediction of Cin is listed as 3rd. Still can be division winner

Ind is atop the AFC South - my prediction of Hou is in 3rd place. doesn't look good right now but still has a shot

Den & KC are tied at 4-0 in the AFC West - Den looks very, very good and is still the front runner

My wildcard pick of KC is looking very solid; but Pit is terrible.

Dal has a 2 game lead in the NFC East - so far, so good

Det & Chi are tied for the NFC North - my prediction of GB is in serious jeopardy 2 games back

NO is way out front in the NFC South - my division winner of Atl, at 2 games back, also looks like they are in trouble

Sea is in control in the NFC West - Sea has been impressive the last couple of weeks

My 2 wildcard picks (NO & Det) are actually looking like division winners.
NO and Sea are the 2 hottest NFC teams right now. On a neutral site I would pick NO but otherwise would pick the home team.

My top team is still Denver. Some of the picks are looking good; some are looking very bad; some still have a shot to get it going.

There are a lot of football games left to be played. Let's just enjoy them and see what happens.